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2. Design of Experiments

Task

  • Where to measure in order to optimally improve a model?

Difficulty with Traditional Approaches

  • Unsupervised → Good for initialization.
  • Whole measurement plan is designed a priori.
  • Model quality is either
    • not considered at all (space filling designs, etc.) or
    • only variance component is optimized (D-optimal, etc.).

Our Approach

  • Active learning → Feedback of model quality to DoE.
  • Focus rather on dominating bias (systematic) error than on variance (stochastic) error.
  • Utilizes powerful local network construction algorithms → HILOMOT.
  • Incremental procedure → Measurement can be stopped anytime.

 

Optimal maximin latin hypercubes (unsupervised) 

 

Optimization of Latin Hypercube (LH) Designs

  • LH not necessarily space filling → Optimization required. Here: maximin or Φp.
  • Goal: Maximization of the critical points (closest to each other).
  • Implementation: Deterministic optimization strategy.

Optimization Strategy (Phase 1)

  • Initialize with random LH
  • Find critical points with minimal distance to each other
  • Go through all critical points (red)
  • Try to swap with other points (brown)  in order to increase critical distance
  • Check all potential swapping partners in all dimensions for all critical points
  • Iterate until no improving partner can be found anymore
  • Subsequent phase 2 improves further
     

Example: 5 points / 2 dimensions 

f25_b01 Research Nelles

 

LH Optimization for 100 Points (Phase 1: Improving Critical Points)
 

f26_b01 Research Nelles

 

LH Optimization for 100 Points (Phase 2: Further Improvements)
 

f27_b01 Research Nelles

 

Optimization of next measurement point to gather most information (supervised)
 

HILOMOT-DoE: Active Learning Cycle 

f28_b01 Research Nelles

 

 

Joint project with

f29_b01 Research Nelles

 

f29_b02 Research Nelles

 

Situation

  • Increasing degrees of freedom.
  • More potential for optimization.
     

Problem

  • Cost and engine test stand times overwhelming.
  • Individual approaches become tedious.
  • Advanced systematic procedures required.
     

Results

  • Sophisticated models intertwined with DoE (active learning).
  • Much faster engine measurement/calibration times.
  • Flexible trade-off between model accuracy and required engine test stand times.
     

 

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